UK Economy in Limbo as Recession Confirmed and Inflation Nears Triggering Interest Rate Cuts

Reuters reports: Data confirms UK economy entered recession in the past year

It has been confirmed that Britain’s economy entered a recession in the second half of last year. The Office for National Statistics reported that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) had contracted by 0.1% in the third quarter and by 0.3% in the fourth quarter, remaining unchanged from the initial estimates. Despite some signs of improvement at the start of 2024, with GDP growing by 0.2% in January and unofficial surveys indicating continued growth in February and March, the country has been slow to recover from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, the economy is currently only 1% larger than it was in late 2019, with only Germany within the Group of Seven nations experiencing a worse economic performance.

The Bank of England has stated that British inflation is approaching a level where interest rate cuts can be implemented. The central bank predicts that the economy will only grow by 0.25% this year, while official budget forecasters anticipate a 0.8% expansion in the economy. Following the release of the data, the value of the British pound remained relatively stable against both the U.S. dollar and the euro.

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